Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 15.807407 17.931471 20.184579 22.747216 25.575580 28.596310 32.060865
2024-12-29 12.878150 15.817581 19.138654 23.147746 27.833924 33.115388 39.493983
2025-01-05 10.421032 13.789352 17.823497 22.962546 29.281946 36.743360 46.158710
2025-01-12 8.184664 11.652504 16.047480 21.939570 29.534914 38.892085 51.173818
2025-01-19 6.473799 9.898019 14.480274 20.926371 29.606305 40.720650 55.832160
2025-01-26 5.760390 9.363205 14.412026 21.804943 32.121774 45.750145 64.807423
2025-02-02 5.474730 9.382366 15.078675 23.706117 36.108251 52.915503 76.959991
2025-02-09 5.000853 9.041154 15.168083 24.762207 38.958644 58.677713 87.509198
2025-02-16 4.383523 8.378881 14.689261 24.910964 40.481360 62.644746 95.752290
2025-02-23 3.738206 7.570163 13.880468 24.458154 41.044621 65.232345 102.130655
2025-03-02 3.227317 6.912325 13.228784 24.165635 41.786453 68.064388 108.931633
2025-03-09 2.863440 6.462398 12.864055 24.280930 43.130139 71.807842 117.175995
2025-03-16 2.476121 5.920449 12.299817 24.045159 43.948324 74.876043 124.688455
2025-03-23 2.326800 5.827956 12.524746 25.167379 47.029991 81.561357 137.947838
2025-03-30 2.079303 5.492376 12.263239 25.409628 48.660847 86.051384 148.032625
2025-04-06 1.741078 4.899664 11.440782 24.562403 48.378417 87.470151 153.385802
2025-04-13 1.443718 4.340075 10.609249 23.608615 47.823188 88.386772 157.944580
2025-04-20 1.370500 4.303717 10.838857 24.682675 50.902254 95.396485 172.509571
2025-04-27 1.394574 4.515067 11.608409 26.857785 56.069853 106.081222 193.383554
2025-05-04 1.334957 4.499929 11.886300 28.073277 59.541414 114.030682 210.035043
2025-05-11 1.204046 4.270640 11.666999 28.265861 61.124496 118.817535 221.619712
2025-05-18 1.043127 3.924573 11.141414 27.779417 61.392149 121.330917 229.480119
2025-05-25 0.912994 3.638603 10.718148 27.464381 61.952661 124.354500 238.272810